Confess: A Humanistic, Diagnostic-Prescriptive Computer Program to Decrease Person to Person Interaction Time During Confession KENNETH MAJER Institute for Child Study MICHAEL C. FLANIGAN School of Education Indiana University Recent Vatican interest in the effect upon laymen of the shortage of professional priests (PP) and the decreased seminary enrollment of potential priests (P'P) has led to the development of Computerized Operations (Non-retrievable) for Expediting Sinner Services (CONFESS). This program provides a viable alternative to traditional confession procedures by listing penance requirements (by sin) on a private print-out to confessees appropriate to the sin committed. This eliminates one problem which frequently occurs where the confessee, because he is under extreme duress, may forget the original penance. In addition, the program provides a probability estimate of the consequence of not completing the penance associated with a given sin; for example, number of years in purgatory. Thus, full freedom of choice is given to the participant/user (PU). The program requires no PP involvement and hence frees PPs to engage in more pressing activities. It is hoped that by providing PPs with more time for critical theological activities, P'Ps will consider the priesthood a more socially conscious and relevant profession. causing an increase of P'P enrollment in accredited seminaries. Program Description CONFESS is available in three natural interactive languages, COURSE WRITER III, BASIC and TUTOR and can be programmed for most other natural languages such as interactive FORTRAN. The program has been developed utilizing on-line computer terminals linked to an IBM 360 for data input, but could be modified to operate in batch mode on almost any third generation configuration given the willingness to sacrifice immediate feedback. The computing procedures for CONFESS are as follows: The present sins input (psi) yields the graduated penance accrual (GPA) as a function of present sins (ps) plus frequency of confession visits (fcv) times completed penances (cp) divided by recurring sins (rs). Hence, GPA is a function not only of the immediate sins reported but also a partial function of the reciprocal relationship of recurring sins to completed penances by frequency of confession visits. The relative penance, then, is increased by the inclusion of recurring sins.¹ Mathematically, this can be represented as follows: psi → GPA = f {ps + fcv (cp÷rs)} Therefore, each present sin yields a specific GPA that is stored until all GPAs have been computed. At that time, punishment and its maximum likelihood of occurrence² should the GPA not be completed, are retrieved from core storage and printed out for the individual GPA prescription. Validity and Reliability A study to establish the validity of the CONFESS program was conducted. The procedure included a sample of 243 actual confessions stratified across low, medium and high socio-economic income brackets with non-significant differences in proportions of black, white and Spanish speaking PUs. Fourteen priests were used in the study from seven different cities. The actual sins confessed and penances prescribed in the confessional booths were tape recorded without the confessor or confessee's knowledge to insure absolute authenticity of confessor-confessee interaction.³ The tapes were further analyzed and penances were rated on a scale of 1-10 where 10 = maximum severity.^4 Then ratings were made by the seven cardinal evaluators identified by Stake (AERA, 1972). The interrater reliability was .949. The 243 sin sets taken from the taped confessions were then entered into the CONFESS program via remote terminal. A Pearson product moment correlation was computed between the actual PP penance prescriptions and the CONFESS PGAs. A correlation of .971 was interpreted to provide sufficient concurrent validity for CONFESS confidence. A further series of small studies to determine the reliability of the CONFESS program were conducted as follows: Study I: External Latency Reliability. The mean wait for confessional booths with PPs (where there were 2 booths/church) was 7.12 minutes while, in comparison, the average wait for a CONFESS box (one installation per church) was only 1.72 minutes. This difference in out-side wait latency is significant at the p <.01 level.